[This document is the Property of His Britannic Majesty's Government.] "THE SPOILS." We seem to be forced by the possible capture of Constantinople into a premature discussion of a division of the yet unacquired spoils of the whole war. (a.) to command the Bagdad Railway terminus, 5. (a) Seems to necessitate our control or occupation of all Mesopotamia and the Bagdad Railway, which would be a costly and onerous obligation, though with great expenditure on irrigation the valley of the Euphrates would probably be made very fertile and perhaps remunerative. (a.) divided : approximately half going to the British Gold Coast and Ashantee, and the other half to French Dahomey; but, in any division, it would be difficult to allott the only port, Lomé, and the single railway up to Kamina ; If it was retained by the British, a deal might be made with the French to obtain also the part of Dahomey which separates Togoland from Nigeria, so as to form all our possessions in the Gulf of Guinea into a solid and continuous territory. (a.) their share of the Condominium in the New Hebrides; To obtain these we can offer France— (c.) three-fourths of the Cameroons (instead of one-half), plus our half share of Togoland; 16. Alternatively we might surrender to France our share of the New Hebrides Condominium as compensation, with nearly the whole of the Cameroons, for our possession of Togoland and Dahomey.
Printed for the use of the Cabinet. March 1915
SECRET
As I am specially concerned with German colonies, I am drawn into the consideration of the whole question.
The following observations are based on the presumption that the Allies are completely successful and able to dictate any terms they choose to Germany, Austria, and Turkey.
1. I assume that we shall retain some part of Mesopotamia, possibly as far as from the Persian Gulf to Bagdad, mainly on the ground stated by Lord Crewe that this fertile land would give an outlet for Indian emigration.
2. If Persia became involved it would be desirable that part of of the neutral zone containing the oil fields and the province of Fars should pass under British control.
3. It would also be an advantage, in view of Russian predominance in Northern Persia, if the capital and seat of Government could be transferred from Tehran to some more southern or eastern town.
4. It has been suggested that, if Russia is at Constantinople, we should occupy Alexandretta—
(b.) as a naval base to protect Egypt and our sea route to India from Russian attack.
6. As to (b), Alexandretta does not seem by any means an ideal naval base for the protection of Egypt against Russian attack.
It is an open roadsted and the cost of a harbour would be considerable.
For purely naval purposes the fine harbour of Marmarice on the mainland due north of Rhodes, or the island of Mitylene, with its great land-locked inlets, would seem to be preferable. Mitylene commands the exit from the Dardanelles and the Gulf of Smyrna.
But I am very doubtful whether we should be wise to add to the number of our hostages to fortune in the Mediterranean.
7. France claims Syria and the Taurus, but it is not certain that this is intended to include Alexandretta.
I think it would be unfortunate if France became the guardian of the Christian Holy Places in Palestine.
I should like to see them in British hands, (and perhaps governed from Egypt), or, if that is impossible, I have heard a suggestion that they might be under the protection of the United States.
8. If Italy comes into the war it might be possible, and would be advantageous to us, to exchange British Somaliland, which is contiguous to Italian Somaliland, for the Italian Erithrea, on the Red Sea, which adjoins the Soudan and Abyssinia. we might, if necessary, give them some accomodation at Solum on the frontier of Tripoli and Egypt for this object.
9. All the German possessions in the Pacific have now been taken from her.
Samoa is under the control of New Zealand, Japan is temporarilly in occupation of all the islands north of the equator, and Australia all the islands south of the equator. It is out of the question to part with any of the territories now in occupation of Australia and New Zealand.
Japan evidently intends to claim the possession at the end of the war of all the islands she is now occupying, with the possible exception of Yap.
I fear that this will cause great trouble with Australia, especially as regards the Marshall Islands, the trade of which has been, even under German rule, exclusively with Australia.
The United States is not likely to be pleased at Japanese extension eastward in the Pacific.
10. There remain the German colonies in Africa, all of which I assume we shall have captured by the end of the war.
11. If German South-West Africa is occupied by the Union Government, it must obviously be retained as part of the British Empire, unless the Union Government and Portugal were willing to exchange it for the Portuguese possessions on the east coast of Africa, including Delagoa Bay, Beira and Mozambique. This exchange would effect a consolidation of Portuguese and British territory, and probably be to the advantage of each; but it is not liekely to be acceptable to the Portuguese, who would be incapable of governing the German population.
12. German East Africa forms the missing link in the chain of British possessions from the Cape to Cairo.
It would make an admirable colony for Indian emigration of the class which wants to trade and not to cultivate, assuming that the latter will be provided for in Mesopotamia.
The German railway, now complete, from Ujiji on Lake Tanganyika to Dar-es-Salaam on the coast, will in future tap and carry a large part of the trade of the Belgian Congo, and will deprive our Uganda Railway of much of the traffic which it now obtains from Ruanda and the southern half of the Victoria Nyanza.
13. Togoland is in the joint occupation of French and British forces.
It could be—
(b.) given to the French;
(c.) given to the British, in each case in consideration of some advantage elsewhere.
14. The Cameroons are being invaded, and presumably captured, by a joint French and British force. France is employing, and will probably continue to employ, a larger land force than ours. But we provided the whole of the naval assistance which alone made possible the initial capture of the capital, Duala, and the railway.
It might be assumed that we should equitably be entitled to half the Cameroons, but at the most I do not think we should require or could usefully occupy more than one fourth of it.
The French will undoubtedly desire a large share of it, and especially that part which was taken from them by Germany at the time of Agadir.
We might ourselves retain very much less than one-fourth of the area, but what it is essential that we should have is the northern railway (about 80 miles) from Duala to Baré; Mount Cameroon on the coast, which will make a perfect sanatorium for the whole of West Africa; and the town and harbour of Duala, which in enemy hands could easily be made an impregnable and menacing naval base against our West and South African commerce.
15. We want from France two things—
(b.) their small settlement of Jibuti opposite Aden, which controls the mischievous arms traffic to Abyssinia and Central Africa.
(d.) or, if we wish to retain all Togoland and acquire Dahomey, we can offer France all the Cameroons except Mount Cameroon and Duala, and in such a wide settlement we could throw in the Gambia, which is an object of great desire by the French ; but the cession of the Gambia would be very unpopular in this country, and arouse much public and Parliamentary criticism and agitation.
This would be an impossible suggestion in ordinary times of peace, owing to Australian prejudices, but as Australia is now to acquire such a large amount of new Pacific territory she might at this moment be induced to agree to it.
In order to sweeten the pill, I should not object to giving Australia also the German island of Bougainville and our adjoining islands of the Solomon Group.
17. And, lastly, we might take this opportunity of restoring to China, with or without a consideration, the costly folly of Weihaiwei.
L.H.
March 25, 1915.